MX23RW : Monday, December 23 00:21:01| >> :300:86500:86500:
Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 13
Oct 28, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Szczecin
2 - 1
Jagiellonia

Koulouris (44'), Grosicki (48' pen.)
Kurzawa (37'), Smolinski (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Malec (35' og.)
Romanczuk (90+8')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Pogon Szczecin and Jagiellonia Bialystok.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Piast Gliwice 0-0 Szczecin
Friday, October 20 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Lech Poznan 3-3 Jagiellonia
Tuesday, October 24 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 49.66%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.8%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Pogon Szczecin in this match.

Result
Pogon SzczecinDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
49.66% (-0.373 -0.37) 22.1% (0.149 0.15) 28.24% (0.226 0.23)
Both teams to score 64.73% (-0.36200000000001 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.97% (-0.551 -0.55)35.03% (0.556 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.98% (-0.619 -0.62)57.02% (0.623 0.62)
Pogon Szczecin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.51% (-0.319 -0.32)14.5% (0.322 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.51% (-0.627 -0.63)42.49% (0.63 0.63)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.7% (-0.139 -0.14)24.3% (0.142 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.32% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2)58.68% (0.2 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Pogon Szczecin 49.66%
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 28.24%
    Draw 22.1%
Pogon SzczecinDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.8% (0.113 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.57% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.98% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-2 @ 4.23% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.23% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.89% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-2 @ 2.04% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.04% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.12% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-3 @ 0.96% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 49.66%
1-1 @ 9.63% (0.121 0.12)
2-2 @ 6.57% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.52% (0.099 0.1)
3-3 @ 2% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.1%
1-2 @ 6.81% (0.058 0.06)
0-1 @ 4.98% (0.12 0.12)
0-2 @ 3.53% (0.07 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.21% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.1% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.66% (0.026 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.1% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 28.24%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lech Poznan18122433141938
2Rakow CzestochowaRakow18106225111436
3Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia1810533225735
4Legia WarsawLegia1895436231332
5KS CracoviaCracovia189453628831
6Gornik ZabrzeGornik189362620630
7Motor Lublin188462730-328
8Pogon SzczecinSzczecin188372521427
9Widzew Lodz187472425-125
10Katowice186572725223
11Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice185761818022
12Radomiak Radom1862102326-320
13Stal Mielec185491924-519
14Zaglebie Lubin185491627-1119
15Puszcza Niepolomice184681726-918
16Korona Kielce184681527-1218
17Lechia GdanskGdansk1835101833-1514
18Slask Wroclaw1817101428-1410


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