Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 17
Dec 1, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadion przy Drodze Debinskiej
Warta Poznan1 - 2Jagiellonia
FT(HT: 1-1)
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Warta Poznan and Jagiellonia Bialystok.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Legia 2-2 Warta Poznan
Saturday, November 25 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Saturday, November 25 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Goals
for
for
16
Last Game: Jagiellonia 0-0 Piast Gliwice
Friday, November 24 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Friday, November 24 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Goals
for
for
36
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Warta Poznan had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Warta Poznan win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Warta Poznan | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
33.43% ( 0.05) | 25.63% ( -0.01) | 40.93% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 54.99% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
