Maccabi Haifa2 - 1Hamrun Spartans
Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, July 11 at 7pm in Champions League
Tuesday, July 11 at 7pm in Champions League
We said: Maccabi Haifa 2-0 Hamrun Spartans (Maccabi Haifa win 6-0 on aggregate)
Following trouble both in the stands and on the pitch last week, Hamrun are likely to experience more of the latter when they reconvene with Maccabi Haifa in Israel. While their hosts may take the opportunity to rotate their resources and experiment, there is still a gulf in class between the two sides which surely cannot be bridged. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Haifa win with a probability of 46.72%. A win for Hamrun Spartans had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Haifa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Hamrun Spartans win was 0-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Maccabi Haifa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maccabi Haifa | Draw | Hamrun Spartans |
46.72% ( 0.05) | 24.48% ( -0.01) | 28.8% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 56.66% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
