MX23RW : Saturday, February 1 18:26:35| >> :120:6851:6851:
Atalanta logo
Champions League | League Stage
Oct 23, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Celtic logo

Atalanta
0 - 0
Celtic

FT

Johnston (8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Atalanta BC and Celtic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Venezia 0-2 Atalanta
Sunday, October 20 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Celtic 2-2 Aberdeen
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Atalanta BC 2-0 Celtic

Having had their fingers burnt by trying to go toe-to-toe with Dortmund, surely Celtic will take a more measured approach against in-form Atalanta. Nonetheless, their defensive frailties will still be exposed by a home side now finding their rhythm after a summer of uncertainty and disruption. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 34.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7%) and 0-2 (5.84%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawCeltic
34.74% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1) 23.47% (1.364 1.36) 41.79% (-1.268 -1.27)
Both teams to score 63.09% (-5.297 -5.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.4% (-6.894 -6.89)38.6% (6.892 6.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.1% (-7.679 -7.68)60.9% (7.677 7.68)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.76% (-3.223 -3.22)22.24% (3.222 3.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.32% (-5.088 -5.09)55.67% (5.088 5.09)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.13% (-3.314 -3.31)18.87% (3.313 3.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.67% (-5.836 -5.84)50.33% (5.835 5.84)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 34.74%
    Celtic 41.79%
    Draw 23.47%
Atalanta BCDrawCeltic
2-1 @ 7.91% (0.325 0.33)
1-0 @ 6.31% (1.398 1.4)
2-0 @ 4.74% (0.666 0.67)
3-1 @ 3.96% (-0.233 -0.23)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.599 -0.6)
3-0 @ 2.38% (0.122 0.12)
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.252 -0.25)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.377 -0.38)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 34.74%
1-1 @ 10.52% (1.383 1.38)
2-2 @ 6.59% (-0.462 -0.46)
0-0 @ 4.2% (1.238 1.24)
3-3 @ 1.84% (-0.584 -0.58)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.47%
1-2 @ 8.77% (0.271 0.27)
0-1 @ 7% (1.494 1.49)
0-2 @ 5.84% (0.714 0.71)
1-3 @ 4.88% (-0.396 -0.4)
2-3 @ 3.67% (-0.711 -0.71)
0-3 @ 3.24% (0.067 0.07)
1-4 @ 2.03% (-0.42 -0.42)
2-4 @ 1.53% (-0.508 -0.51)
0-4 @ 1.35% (-0.125 -0.13)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 41.79%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Celtic

Atalanta BC
82.2%
Draw
8.9%
Celtic
8.9%
359
rhs 2.0
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