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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Jul 22, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

River Plate
1 - 0
Gimnasia

Beltran (43')
Zuculini (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Enrique (35'), Cecchini (50'), Muro (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Argentine Primera Division clash between River Plate and Gimnasia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 2-2 River Plate
Monday, July 18 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Gimnasia 0-0 Colon
Saturday, July 16 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: River Plate 2-1 Gimnasia

Gimnasia have recently lost their momentum, claiming just one point from their last two outings, which will provide River Plate with confidence heading into Thursday's contest. The hosts have struggled for consistency so far this term, but we can see them coming away with a slender victory on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 73.84%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 9.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.85%) and 3-0 (10.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.99%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (3.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River PlateDrawGimnasia
73.84% (1.361 1.36) 16.83% (-0.602 -0.6) 9.33% (-0.7561 -0.76)
Both teams to score 44.04% (-0.94 -0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.77% (0.40300000000001 0.4)43.23% (-0.398 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.37% (0.395 0.4)65.63% (-0.39099999999999 -0.39)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.83% (0.45399999999999 0.45)10.17% (-0.45 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.58% (1.024 1.02)33.42% (-1.02 -1.02)
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.03% (-1.298 -1.3)50.97% (1.303 1.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.68% (-0.891 -0.89)85.32% (0.895 0.89)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 73.83%
    Gimnasia 9.34%
    Draw 16.83%
River PlateDrawGimnasia
2-0 @ 13.54% (0.28 0.28)
1-0 @ 11.85% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 10.31% (0.398 0.4)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.155 -0.16)
3-1 @ 6.95% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 5.9% (0.339 0.34)
4-1 @ 3.97% (0.085 0.09)
5-0 @ 2.7% (0.203 0.2)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.084 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.82% (0.072 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.021 -0.02)
6-0 @ 1.03% (0.095 0.1)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 73.83%
1-1 @ 7.99% (-0.293 -0.29)
0-0 @ 5.19% (-0.091 -0.09)
2-2 @ 3.08% (-0.172 -0.17)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 16.83%
0-1 @ 3.49% (-0.198 -0.2)
1-2 @ 2.69% (-0.206 -0.21)
0-2 @ 1.18% (-0.115 -0.12)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 9.34%

How you voted: River Plate vs Gimnasia

River Plate
57.9%
Draw
21.1%
Gimnasia
21.1%
19
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2022 10.15pm
River Plate
4-0
Gimnasia
Fernandez (30' pen.), Alvarez (45+1' pen.), Quintero (72' pen.), Romero (90')
Gonzalez Pirez (40')

Leyes (53'), Morales (62'), Cardozo (64')
Aug 23, 2021 12.15am
Gimnasia
1-1
River Plate
Miguel Rodriguez (7')
Melluso (74'), Licht (89')
Suarez (3')
Romero (13'), Zuculini (48'), De La Cruz (59'), Casco (74')
Sep 28, 2019 9.45pm
Gimnasia
0-2
River Plate

Velazquez (33'), Ayala (48')
Carrascal (22'), Scocco (74')
Zuculini (33'), Sosa (39')
Dec 3, 2018 12.30am
River Plate
3-1
Gimnasia
Borre (7', 36'), Moya (88')
Lux (50')
Gomez (49')
Bonifacio (51'), Cataldi (54'), Monti (73')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield27149438162251
2TalleresTalleres2713953427748
3Racing ClubRacing27144942301246
4HuracanHuracan271210528181046
5River PlateRiver Plate271110638211743
6Boca Juniors2711973023742
7IndependienteIndependiente2791352517840
8Atletico TucumanTucuman2711792827140
9UnionUnion2711792726140
10Platense2710982018239
11Independiente Rivadavia2710892325-238
12EstudiantesEstudiantes2781273634236
13Instituto27106113231136
14LanusLanus2781272831-336
15Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2781183128335
16BelgranoBelgrano2781183332135
17Deportivo Riestra2781182627-135
18TigreTigre2781092730-334
19GimnasiaGimnasia2788112123-232
20Rosario CentralRosario2788112730-332
21Defensa y JusticiaDefensa2771192733-632
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba2787122936-731
23Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2786132228-630
24San Lorenzo2778122026-629
25Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2777132235-1328
26Sarmiento27511111828-1026
27BanfieldBanfield2759132236-1424
28Barracas Central27411121533-1823


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