Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Jul 14, 2024 at 7pm UK
Parque Federico Omar Saroldi
River Plate1 - 3Penarol
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between River Plate and Penarol.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fenix 1-0 River Plate
Sunday, July 7 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, July 7 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
24
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 54.47%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 20.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.79%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a River Plate win it was 1-0 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
Result | ||
River Plate | Draw | Penarol |
20.48% ( -0.6) | 25.04% ( -0.06) | 54.47% ( 0.66) |
Both teams to score 46.42% ( -0.64) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.86% ( -0.41) | 55.14% ( 0.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.61% ( -0.34) | 76.39% ( 0.34) |
River Plate Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.19% ( -0.87) | 41.8% ( 0.87) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.73% ( -0.77) | 78.26% ( 0.76) |
Penarol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.77% ( 0.1) | 20.22% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.45% ( 0.16) | 52.55% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
River Plate 20.48%
Penarol 54.46%
Draw 25.04%
River Plate | Draw | Penarol |
1-0 @ 7.37% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.13% Total : 20.48% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.69% Total : 25.04% | 0-1 @ 13.51% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 10.79% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 9.42% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 5.75% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 5.02% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.3% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.48% Total : 54.46% |
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2024 12am
Oct 22, 2023 8pm
Mar 18, 2023 10.30pm
Mar 8, 2023 12am
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-09-15 12:08:32
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