Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 7

Oct 22, 2023 at 8pm UK

Parque Federico Omar Saroldi

River Plate
0 - 3
Penarol

Chopitea (61'), Gargano (63'), Cabrera (73')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Gonzalez (29'), Mayada (34'), Arezo (59')
Milans (56')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between River Plate and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

All competitions

Last Game: Maldonado 0-0 River Plate
Thursday, October 19 at 6.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Penarol

All competitions

Last Game: Torque 2-3 Penarol
Wednesday, October 18 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 48.78%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 24.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.82%) and 1-2 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a River Plate win it was 1-0 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
River Plate	Draw	Penarol
24.12% ( -0.2)	27.1% ( -0.11)	48.78% ( 0.3)

Both teams to score 45.04% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.84% (

0.22)

59.16% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.41% (

0.17)

79.59% (

-0.17)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.55% (

-0.06)

40.45% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.94% (

-0.05)

77.06% (

0.05)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.63% (

0.24)

24.37% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.22% (

0.34)

58.78% (

-0.34)

Score Analysis

River Plate 24.12%

Penarol 48.78%

Draw 27.09%

River Plate	Draw	Penarol
1-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 1.31% Total : 24.12%	1-1 @ 12.59% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 9.86% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.09%	0-1 @ 13.91% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 9.82% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 4.62% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.63% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.34% Total : 48.78%