Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 2

Aug 27, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Estadio Campeon del Siglo

Penarol
2 - 2
La Luz

Arezo (28', 64')
Mendez (45+2'), Gonzalez (71'), Cristoforo (90+1'), Sanchez (90')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Hernandez (23' pen.), Viera (37')
Hernandez (23'), Gabriel Osores Molinelli (33'), Castillo (54'), Gonzalez (76')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and La Luz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions

Uruguayan Primera Division

Last Game: Cerro 1-1 Penarol
Saturday, August 19 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

La Luz

All competitions

Last Game: Wanderers 0-1 La Luz
Saturday, August 19 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 52.85%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for La Luz had a probability of 20.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a La Luz win it was 0-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Penarol	Draw	La Luz
52.85% ( -0.57)	26.42% ( 0.2)	20.74% ( 0.36)

Both teams to score 43.15% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.35% (

-0.32)

59.65% (

0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.03% (

-0.24)

79.97% (

0.25)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.25% (

-0.38)

22.75% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.57% (

-0.57)

56.43% (

0.57)

La Luz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.85% (

0.21)

44.15% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.76% (

0.17)

80.24% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Penarol 52.84%

La Luz 20.74%

Draw 26.4%

Penarol	Draw	La Luz
1-0 @ 14.87% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 11% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.62% Total : 52.84%	1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 3.68% ( 0) Other @ 0.53% Total : 26.4%	0-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.92% Total : 20.74%