Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for La Luz had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest La Luz win was 1-0 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Danubio would win this match.

Result
La Luz	Draw	Danubio
29.91% ( -0.6)	27.18% ( -0.03)	42.9% ( 0.63)

Both teams to score 48.81% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.67% (

-0.11)

56.33% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.64% (

-0.09)

77.35% (

0.09)

La Luz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.95% (

-0.51)

34.05% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.27% (

-0.55)

70.73% (

0.55)

Danubio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74% (

0.28)

25.99% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.98% (

0.38)

61.02% (

-0.38)

Score Analysis

La Luz 29.91%

Danubio 42.9%

Draw 27.18%

La Luz	Draw	Danubio
1-0 @ 9.54% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.31% Total : 29.91%	1-1 @ 12.84% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.18%	0-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 8.65% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 8.03% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 3.89% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.18% Total : 42.9%