La Luz

3 - 1

Danubio

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for La Luz had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest La Luz win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.