Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guarani win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guarani win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Danubio win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guarani would win this match.

Result
Guarani	Draw	Danubio
38.08% ( -1.88)	27.33% ( -0.31)	34.6% ( 2.19)

Both teams to score 49.77% (

1.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.24% (

1.51)

55.76% (

-1.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.11% (

1.22)

76.89% (

-1.22)

Guarani Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.62% (

-0.35)

28.38% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.88% (

-0.45)

64.12% (

0.45)

Danubio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.49% (

2.23)

30.51% (

-2.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.27% (

2.57)

66.73% (

-2.57)

Score Analysis

Guarani 38.07%

Danubio 34.59%

Draw 27.32%

Guarani	Draw	Danubio
1-0 @ 10.9% ( -0.77) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.56) 3-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.88% ( -0.27) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.83% Total : 38.07%	1-1 @ 12.94% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.52) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.21) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.32%	0-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.68% ( 0.41) 0-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.38) 1-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.33) 0-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.29) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.19) 1-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.15) Other @ 2.26% Total : 34.59%