Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 15

May 14, 2023 at 7pm UK

Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo

Danubio
1 - 1
Defensor

May (14')
Lewis (20'), Fernandez (24'), May (66'), Silva (77'), Rea (79'), Haller (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Balboa (52')
Scotto (6'), Perez (70')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Danubio and Defensor Sporting.

Form, Standings, Stats

Danubio

All competitions

Uruguayan Primera Division

Last Game: La Luz 3-1 Danubio
Sunday, May 7 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Defensor Sporting

All competitions

Last Game: Defensor 2-2 Nacional
Sunday, May 7 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 35.28%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.25%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 (12.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result
Danubio	Draw	Defensor Sporting
35.28% ( 0.09)	29.52% ( 0.03)	35.2% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 43.44% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.45% (

-0.09)

63.55% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.14% (

-0.07)

82.86% (

0.07)

Danubio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.94% (

0.01)

34.06% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.25% (

0.01)

70.75% (

-0.01)

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.89% (

-0.13)

34.11% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.2% (

-0.14)

70.8% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Danubio 35.28%

Defensor Sporting 35.2%

Draw 29.51%

Danubio	Draw	Defensor Sporting
1-0 @ 12.51% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.25% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.6% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 35.28%	1-1 @ 13.45% 0-0 @ 11.62% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.51%	0-1 @ 12.49% 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 35.2%