Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 6

Oct 18, 2023 at 11.30pm UK

Estadio Centenario

Torque
2 - 3
Penarol

Costa (13'), Siri (22')
Salomon (63'), Villa (63'), Catarozzi (63'), Pizzichillo (67'), Pereyra (90+1')
Salomon (90+6')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Arezo (43'), Rodriguez (44', 65' pen.)
Arezo (37'), Olivera (38'), Rodriguez (75'), Sanchez (90+5')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Montevideo City Torque and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montevideo City Torque

All competitions

Last Game: Defensor 2-0 Torque
Friday, October 13 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Penarol

All competitions

Last Game: Maldonado 0-1 Penarol
Saturday, October 14 at 1am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 49.32%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 23.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.95%) and 1-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Montevideo City Torque win it was 1-0 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
Montevideo City Torque	Draw	Penarol
23.72% ( 0.06)	26.96% ( 0.03)	49.32% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 45.03% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.03% (

-0.05)

58.97% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.55% (

-0.04)

79.45% (

0.04)

Montevideo City Torque Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.28% (

0.03)

40.72% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.69% (

0.03)

77.31% (

-0.02)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.96% (

-0.06)

24.04% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.69% (

-0.09)

58.31% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Montevideo City Torque 23.72%

Penarol 49.32%

Draw 26.95%

Montevideo City Torque	Draw	Penarol
1-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.69% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.2% 3-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.27% Total : 23.72%	1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0) Other @ 0.62% Total : 26.95%	0-1 @ 13.95% 0-2 @ 9.95% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.94% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.73% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 49.32%