Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 16

Dec 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
0 - 2
Inter Milan

Casale (81')
Lazzari (86')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Martinez (40'), Thuram (66')
Thuram (26'), Barella (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Atletico 2-0 Lazio
Wednesday, December 13 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Inter Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Inter Milan 0-0 Real Sociedad
Tuesday, December 12 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Lazio 1-2 Inter Milan

Inter have taken 19 points from a possible 21 in Serie A away games this season, making them a fearsome proposition on the road as well as in Milan. With Lazio's defence disrupted by injury and failing to live up to last term's high standards, expect the Scudetto favourites to capitalise thanks to their ruthless attack. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (11.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Inter Milan
32.25% ( 0.4)	28.88% ( -0.37)	38.88% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 44.85% (

1.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.32% (

1.3)

61.68% (

-1.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.5% (

0.95)

81.5% (

-0.95)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.82% (

0.99)

35.18% (

-1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.07% (

1.03)

71.93% (

-1.03)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.18% (

0.64)

30.81% (

-0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.91% (

0.74)

67.09% (

-0.74)

Score Analysis

Lazio 32.24%

Inter Milan 38.88%

Draw 28.87%

Lazio	Draw	Inter Milan
1-0 @ 11.32% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.13% Total : 32.24%	1-1 @ 13.33% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 10.84% ( -0.53) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.87%	0-1 @ 12.76% ( -0.4) 1-2 @ 7.85% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.22% Total : 38.88%