Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 57.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 18.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Cremonese win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Lecce | Draw | Cremonese |
57.63% ( -0) | 23.78% ( 0) | 18.59% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 47.11% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.31% ( 0) | 52.69% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.67% ( 0) | 74.33% ( -0) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.92% | 18.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51% ( -0) | 48.99% ( 0) |
Cremonese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.5% ( 0.01) | 42.49% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.14% ( 0.01) | 78.86% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Lecce | Draw | Cremonese |
1-0 @ 13.13% 2-0 @ 11.23% 2-1 @ 9.62% 3-0 @ 6.41% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.48% 4-0 @ 2.74% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.35% 4-1 @ 2.35% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1% 5-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.37% Total : 57.62% | 1-1 @ 11.24% 0-0 @ 7.68% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( 0) Other @ 0.74% Total : 23.77% | 0-1 @ 6.57% 1-2 @ 4.81% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.81% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.37% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.84% Total : 18.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Roma | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 19 |
11 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
12 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 13 |
20 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |