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Genoa logo
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Monza
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Serie A | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio San Paolo, Napoli
Lecce logo

Napoli
1 - 1
Lecce

Elmas (27')
Politano (13')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Colombo (31')
Hjulmand (33'), Colombo (40'), Gonzalez (90+7'), Gendrey (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 0-0 Napoli
Sunday, August 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Empoli
Sunday, August 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Napoli 1-0 Lecce

Despite their lack of points, Lecce have proved tough enough to withstand pressure and have not lost by more than a one-goal margin. If Napoli opt to rotate their resources, a new-look XI may take a while to gel - but their class in the final third should get the job done. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 64.16%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 15.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
NapoliDrawLecce
64.16% (-0.271 -0.27) 20.34% (0.156 0.16) 15.5% (0.116 0.12)
Both teams to score 51.55% (-0.241 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.48% (-0.46400000000001 -0.46)43.52% (0.462 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.09% (-0.455 -0.45)65.91% (0.45400000000001 0.45)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.15% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)12.85% (0.218 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.78% (-0.45 -0.45)39.22% (0.449 0.45)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.15% (-0.129 -0.13)40.85% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.58% (-0.115 -0.12)77.42% (0.114 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 64.16%
    Lecce 15.5%
    Draw 20.34%
NapoliDrawLecce
2-0 @ 11.05% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 10.77% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 7.56% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.77% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-0 @ 3.88% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.47% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.59% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.42% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 64.16%
1-1 @ 9.64% (0.081000000000001 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.25% (0.106 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.43% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 20.34%
0-1 @ 4.7% (0.078 0.08)
1-2 @ 4.32% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.1% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 15.5%

How you voted: Napoli vs Lecce

Napoli
88.3%
Draw
8.3%
Lecce
3.3%
120
Head to Head
Feb 9, 2020 2pm
Napoli
2-3
Lecce
Milik (48'), Callejon (90')
Koulibaly (37'), Zielinski (57'), Milik (73'), Rui (80'), Demme (84')
Lapadula (29', 61'), Mancosu (82')
Rispoli (66'), Vigorito (78'), Petriccione (85')
Sep 22, 2019 2pm
Lecce
1-4
Napoli
Mancosu (61' pen.)
Tachtsidis (37'), Gabriel (38'), Tabanelli (49')
Llorente (28', 82'), Insigne (40' pen.), Fabian (52')
Ghoulam (22'), Elmas (45'), Fabian (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli21162335142150
2Inter Milan20145151183347
3Atalanta BCAtalanta21134446242243
4Lazio2112363728939
5Juventus21813034171737
6Fiorentina2096533211233
7Bologna208933226633
8AC Milan208752921831
9Roma217683127427
10Udinese217592432-826
11Torino215882126-523
12Genoa215881830-1223
13Como215792634-822
14CagliariCagliari2156102334-1121
15Empoli214892028-820
16Parma214892636-1020
17Lecce2155111536-2120
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2161142447-2319
19VeneziaVenezia2136121934-1515
20Monza2127122031-1113


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