Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 63.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 15.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.09%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 1-0 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.
Result | ||
Kilmarnock | Draw | Rangers |
15.82% ( 0) | 20.74% ( 0) | 63.43% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 50.94% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.29% ( -0) | 44.71% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.93% ( -0) | 67.07% ( 0) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.84% ( 0) | 41.16% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.3% ( 0) | 77.69% ( -0) |
Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.57% ( -0) | 13.43% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.6% ( -0.01) | 40.4% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Kilmarnock | Draw | Rangers |
1-0 @ 4.91% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.37% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.18% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.3% 3-1 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.77% Total : 15.82% | 1-1 @ 9.85% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.53% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.39% Other @ 0.97% Total : 20.74% | 0-2 @ 11.13% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 11.09% 1-2 @ 9.89% 0-3 @ 7.45% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.62% ( -0) 0-4 @ 3.74% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.32% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.94% 0-5 @ 1.5% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.47% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.92% Total : 63.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 22 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 61 | 8 | 53 | 59 |
2 | RangersRangers | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 44 |
3 | Aberdeen | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 35 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 23 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 34 |
5 | Motherwell | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 31 |
6 | Hibernian | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 29 |
7 | St Mirren | 23 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 27 |
8 | Dundee | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 26 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 25 |
10 | Ross County | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 25 |
11 | Hearts | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 24 |
12 | St Johnstone | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 15 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |