Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Kilmarnock | Draw | Hearts |
43.93% ( -0.03) | 26% ( 0.01) | 30.07% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 52.48% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.36% ( -0.04) | 51.64% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.58% ( -0.04) | 73.42% ( 0.03) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.6% ( -0.03) | 23.39% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.62% ( -0.05) | 57.38% ( 0.05) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.51% ( -0.01) | 31.49% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.12% ( -0.01) | 67.88% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Kilmarnock | Draw | Hearts |
1-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.77% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.76% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 43.92% | 1-1 @ 12.36% 0-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.99% | 0-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.75% 2-3 @ 2% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( 0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 30.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 21 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 57 | 7 | 50 | 56 |
2 | RangersRangers | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
4 | Aberdeen | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 34 |
5 | Motherwell | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 31 |
6 | St Mirren | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 27 |
7 | Dundee | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 26 |
8 | Hibernian | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 26 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 25 |
10 | Ross County | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 25 |
11 | Hearts | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 23 |
12 | St Johnstone | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 15 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |