Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 48.26%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 25.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Greenock Morton |
48.26% ( -0.67) | 26% ( 0.23) | 25.74% ( 0.43) |
Both teams to score 49.51% ( -0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.92% ( -0.58) | 54.07% ( 0.59) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.5% ( -0.49) | 75.5% ( 0.49) |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.57% ( -0.54) | 22.42% ( 0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.05% ( -0.81) | 55.95% ( 0.81) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.83% ( 0.05) | 36.17% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.05% ( 0.05) | 72.95% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Greenock Morton |
1-0 @ 12.12% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 9.06% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.07) Other @ 3% Total : 48.25% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.87% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.89% Total : 25.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 14 | 20 | 41 |
2 | Livingston | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 36 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 29 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 21 |
7 | Greenock MortonMorton | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 19 |
8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 18 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 18 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 36 | -28 | 6 |
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