Morton

2 - 1

Inverness

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 51.54%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 25.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Greenock Morton in this match.