Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.