Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.