MX23RW : Tuesday, May 21 15:54:55| >> :60:85:85:
Hamilton logo
Scottish Championship Playoffs | Final | 1st Leg
May 15, 2024 at 8.05pm UK
The Hope CBD Stadium
Inverness CT

Hamilton
2 - 1
Inverness

O'Hara (6' og.), Owens (22')
O'Hara (43')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Pepple (68')
Brooks (84')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship Playoffs Final clash between Hamilton Academical and Inverness Caledonian Thistle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hamilton 3-2 Alloa
Saturday, May 11 at 3pm in Scottish Championship Playoffs

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.

Result
Hamilton AcademicalDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
41.26% (-0.058 -0.06) 26.23% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 32.5% (0.047999999999995 0.05)
Both teams to score 52.75% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.25% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)51.75% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.48% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)73.52% (0.033999999999992 0.03)
Hamilton Academical Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.23% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)24.77% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.66% (-0.067 -0.07)59.34% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.13% (0.013999999999996 0.01)29.87% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.03% (0.017000000000003 0.02)65.96% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Hamilton Academical 41.26%
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 32.51%
    Draw 26.22%
Hamilton AcademicalDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
1-0 @ 10.32%
2-1 @ 8.71% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.21% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.05% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.35% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.41% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 41.26%
1-1 @ 12.47%
0-0 @ 7.4% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.22%
0-1 @ 8.94% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.4% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.04% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.18% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 32.51%

Head to Head
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 35
Hamilton
1-2
Inverness
Smith (72')
Shaw (75'), Mckay (88')
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Hamilton
2-1
Inverness
O'Reilly (19'), Smith (73' pen.)
Allardice (43')
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Inverness
0-3
Hamilton
De Bolle (47'), Tiehi (80'), Smith (87' pen.)
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Fourth Round
Hamilton
2-0
Inverness
Nixon (4' og.), Mimnaugh (33')
Oct 18, 2022 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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