Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hamilton Academical in this match.
Result | ||
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
43.65% ( -0.42) | 24.69% ( -0.07) | 31.66% ( 0.49) |
Both teams to score 57.56% ( 0.47) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.63% ( 0.52) | 45.37% ( -0.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.29% ( 0.49) | 67.71% ( -0.48) |
Hamilton Academical Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.14% ( 0.03) | 20.86% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.44% ( 0.04) | 53.56% ( -0.04) |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.73% ( 0.57) | 27.27% ( -0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.3% ( 0.74) | 62.7% ( -0.73) |
Score Analysis |
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.7% Total : 43.65% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.69% | 1-2 @ 7.53% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.99% Total : 31.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 14 | 20 | 41 |
2 | Livingston | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 36 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 29 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 21 |
7 | Greenock MortonMorton | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 19 |
8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 18 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 18 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 36 | -28 | 6 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |