MX23RW : Friday, January 24 14:38:26| >> :60:756:756:
Hamilton logo
Scottish Challenge Cup | Fourth Round
Dec 10, 2022 at 3pm UK
New Douglas Park
Inverness CT

Hamilton
2 - 0
Inverness

Nixon (4' og.), Mimnaugh (33')
Tiehi (10')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Fourth Round clash between Hamilton Academical and Inverness Caledonian Thistle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.

Result
Hamilton AcademicalDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
46.73% (0.205 0.2) 24.75% (-0.067 -0.07) 28.52% (-0.136 -0.14)
Both teams to score 55.58% (0.125 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.83% (0.206 0.21)47.17% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.6% (0.192 0.19)69.4% (-0.18899999999999 -0.19)
Hamilton Academical Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.75% (0.172 0.17)20.25% (-0.169 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.41% (0.272 0.27)52.59% (-0.267 -0.27)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.69% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)30.31% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.51% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)66.49% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Hamilton Academical 46.73%
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 28.52%
    Draw 24.75%
Hamilton AcademicalDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
1-0 @ 9.8% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.83% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.97% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.17% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.97% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.99% (0.025 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.66% (0.021 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 46.73%
1-1 @ 11.7% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.14% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.75%
0-1 @ 7.33% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.98% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.37% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.78% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.74% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 28.52%

Head to Head
Oct 18, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 29, 2022 7.45pm
Inverness
4-0
Hamilton
Walsh (4', 22'), Sutherland (15'), Hardy (28')

Popescu (35'), Easton (57')
Feb 25, 2022 7.45pm
Hamilton
1-1
Inverness
Mullin (13')
O'Reilly (22')
Pearson (30')
McAlear (30'), Deas (76')
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Inverness
1-2
Hamilton
Harper (65')
Moyo (79'), Winter (82')
Popescu (27'), Easton (53'), Winter (83')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Hamilton
2-1
Inverness
Smith (5'), Ryan (26')
Mimnaugh (7'), Redfern (20'), Want (45+6'), Fulton (79'), Hughes (82')
Mimnaugh (30')
Gardyne (90+2')
Duku (21'), Welsh (32')
rhs 2.0
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