MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 23:27:15| >> :60:759:759:
[monks data]
PSV
Eredivisie | Gameweek 28
Apr 4, 2021 at 1.30pm UK
Philips Stadium
Heracles Almelo

PSV
3 - 0
Heracles

Malen (9'), Dumfries (21'), Ihattaren (90+2')
Zahavi (59')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Quagliata (71'), Propper (79')

Preview: PSV Eindhoven vs. Heracles - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and Heracles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

With the title race looking like a lost cause, PSV Eindhoven play host to Heracles on Sunday aiming to take a firm grip on second place.

On the other hand, Heracles are unbeaten in their last four league games coming into the clash, and they will want to keep that run going.


Match preview

PSV Eindhoven coach Roger Schmidt in the Europa League on February 18, 2021© Reuters

PSV's five-game unbeaten streak in all competitions was brought to an end by AZ Alkmaar in a 2-0 defeat at the AFAS Stadion.

Roger Schmidt's men were punished for their slow start to the game as they went behind to Jesper Karlsson's fourth-minute strike, and their woes were compounded midway through the second half when Teun Koopmeiners doubled AZ's lead.

The Rood-witten remain in second place, albeit only on goal difference, having dropped points in three of their last four games.

Sunday's opponents cancelled each other out in a 1-1 draw when they met in September's reverse fixture at the Erve Asito.

However, matches in Eindhoven between the teams have been largely one-sided in recent years, with the hosts winning all but one of their last eight stretching back to 2012.

Heracles were unable to record a third victory on the bounce as they were held to a 1-1 draw by Sparta Rotterdam on March 21.

Frank Wormuth's men were headed for defeat after going behind to Lennart Thy's strike just before the hour mark, but Rai Vloet popped up with his 13th league goal of the season to restore parity deep into added time.

The Heraclieden have picked up seven points from the last nine available and have moved into 9th place on the log as a result.

However, they are set to face four of the current top eight in their last seven matches - starting with Sunday's game at the Philips Stadion.

PSV Eindhoven Eredivisie form:
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • L

PSV Eindhoven form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • L

Heracles Eredivisie form:
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • D



Team News

PSV Eindhoven's Donyell Malen pictured in December 2020© Reuters

Richard Ledezma and Maximiliano Romero have both had their seasons ended prematurely, picking up ACL and knee injuries respectively.

Ryan Thomas is expected to be unavailable for the clash having missed the home side's last three games with a damaged ankle.

Mauro Junior and Timo Baumgartl are also ruled out, but Ismael Shabari could make his comeback from a muscle injury this weekend.

Heracles will have to deal with the absence of Navajo Bakboord, who has not featured this season as he remains sidelined with a muscle injury.

Besides that, the visitors have a fully fit squad to choose from as they make the journey to one of the most daunting grounds in the division.

PSV Eindhoven possible starting lineup:
Mvogo; Max, Boscagli, Teze, Dumfries; Rosario, Sangare, Thomas; Gakpo, Vertessen, Zahavi

Heracles possible starting lineup:
Blaswich; Fadiga, Propper, Rente, Quagliata; Schoofs, Azzaoui, De La Torre; Kutucu, Vloet, Burgzorg


SM words green background

We say: PSV Eindhoven 2-0 Heracles

While PSV have not been all that convincing in recent matches, we still expect them to have enough in the tank to get the job done in this one, although the away side have shown that they are no pushovers.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 69.79%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 12.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: PSV vs Heracles

PSV Eindhoven
100%
Draw
0.0%
Heracles
0.0%
26
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11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
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