Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 36.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.18%) and 0-2 (5.66%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
