Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 65.54%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Emmen had a probability of 15.96%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.04%) and 0-1 (7.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.3%), while for a Emmen win it was 2-1 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
