Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ win with a probability of 74.79%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Emmen had a probability of 8.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.6%) and 3-0 (10.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.75%), while for a Emmen win it was 0-1 (3.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ would win this match.
