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Estoril
Estrela Amadora
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Moreirense
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Porto
Rio Ave
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Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Sporting Lisbon
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25
Mar 5, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
 
Arouca

Sporting Lisbon
2 - 0
Arouca

Slimani (46', 52')
Essugo (26'), Coates (36')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Esgaio (15'), Simao (40'), Galovic (65'), Ruiz (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arouca 0-0 Belenenses
Saturday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Arouca

Sporting Lisbon will be looking to restore some pride after their cup defeat against rivals Porto last time out. They will fancy their chances against an inconsistent Arouca side who they have gotten the better of in each of their last 11 encounters since 2013. Looking at the gulf in class and quality between the two sides, we are tipping Sporting Lisbon to come away with all three points unscathed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 63.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 15.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawArouca
63.25%20.79%15.96%
Both teams to score 51.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.36%44.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.99%67%
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.53%13.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.54%40.46%
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.06%40.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.5%77.5%
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 63.25%
    Arouca 15.96%
    Draw 20.79%
Sporting LisbonDrawArouca
2-0 @ 11.08%
1-0 @ 11.05%
2-1 @ 9.9%
3-0 @ 7.41%
3-1 @ 6.62%
4-0 @ 3.71%
4-1 @ 3.32%
3-2 @ 2.95%
5-0 @ 1.49%
4-2 @ 1.48%
5-1 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 63.25%
1-1 @ 9.87%
0-0 @ 5.51%
2-2 @ 4.42%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 20.79%
0-1 @ 4.92%
1-2 @ 4.41%
0-2 @ 2.2%
2-3 @ 1.32%
1-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 15.96%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Arouca

Sporting Lisbon
96.0%
Draw
4.0%
Arouca
0.0%
25
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2021 8.30pm
Arouca
1-2
Sporting Lisbon
Dabbagh (51')
Nunes (45+1'), Silva (63'), Araujo (85')
Nunes (16'), Santos (54')
Sarabia (45'), Paulinho (63'), Porro (63'), Braganca (77'), Tomas (90+3')
Apr 2, 2017 6pm
Arouca
1-2
Sporting Lisbon
Mateus (9')
Costa de Brito (26'), Adilson (45'), Luis (80')
Ruiz (34'), Cesar (36')
Ruiz (23'), Castelo Podence (80'), Carvalho (88'), Patricio (94')
Nov 6, 2016 8.15pm
Sporting Lisbon
3-0
Arouca
Dost (9', 69'), Campbell (55')
Martins (14'), Silva (44'), Campbell (53')

Adilson (27'), Costa (45')
Costa (50')
Mar 19, 2016 6.30pm
Sporting Lisbon
5-1
Arouca
Gutierrez (16', 45'), Mario (19', 32'), Ruiz (60')
Gege (67')
Velasquez (22'), Rodrigues (63'), Gege (80')
Nov 8, 2015 8.30pm
Arouca
0-1
Sporting Lisbon

Dabo (87'), Basto (95')
Slimani (90')
Oliveira (42'), Patricio (95')
Naldo (88')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Porto1512123692737
2Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
3Benfica1411213482635
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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