Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 54.33%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 23.71% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 2-1 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Braga |
23.71% ( 0.05) | 21.96% ( 0.03) | 54.33% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 60.52% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.45% ( -0.1) | 38.55% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.15% ( -0.11) | 60.85% ( 0.11) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.55% ( -0.01) | 29.45% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.55% ( -0.02) | 65.45% ( 0.02) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.78% ( -0.06) | 14.22% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.05% ( -0.12) | 41.95% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Braga |
2-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.49% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 3.17% Total : 23.71% | 1-1 @ 9.98% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.96% | 1-2 @ 9.74% 0-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.97% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.33% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.18% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 3.09% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.53% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.38% Total : 54.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 3 | 32 | 30 |
2 | Porto | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 4 | 23 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 6 | 18 | 22 |
4 | Braga | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 20 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 18 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 16 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
9 | Casa Pia | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 12 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 9 |
13 | AVS | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 9 |
14 | Rio AveRio Ave | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
15 | Nacional | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 7 |
17 | Estrela Amadora | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 6 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 4 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |