Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 46.89%. A win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.73%) and 3-2 (5.4%). The likeliest Manchester United Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Under-21s would win this match.