Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Under-21s win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.38%) and 1-0 (5.19%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United Under-21s would win this match.