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Major League Soccer
Austin FC
Major League Soccer
Sep 1, 2022 at 3.51am UK
Austin FC Stadium
Portland Timbers

Austin
1 - 2
Portland

Driussi (79')
Urruti (30'), Pereira (45+5'), Ring (65')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tuiloma (16'), McGraw (73')
Zuparic (42'), Williamson (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

Last Six:
Last Game: Austin 4-1 Los Angeles
Saturday, August 27 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Portland Timbers

Last Six:
Last Game: Portland 2-1 Seattle
Saturday, August 27 at 3am in Major League Soccer

We said: Austin FC 3-1 Portland Timbers

 Austin FC have been ruthless in front of goal all-season long and they will be looking to enjoy another field day here. We are tipping the home side to emerge victorious in what should be a truly exciting affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 57.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 21.08%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.7%) and 1-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 1-2 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Austin FCDrawPortland Timbers
57.5% (0.076999999999998 0.08) 21.42% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 21.08% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Both teams to score 58.73% (-0.118 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.75% (-0.102 -0.1)39.25% (0.101 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.42% (-0.10700000000001 -0.11)61.58% (0.106 0.11)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.53% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)13.46% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.54% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)40.46% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.86% (-0.13 -0.13)32.13% (0.129 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.38% (-0.147 -0.15)68.61% (0.14699999999999 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 57.5%
    Portland Timbers 21.08%
    Draw 21.42%
Austin FCDrawPortland Timbers
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.7% (0.034999999999998 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.68% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.6% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 5.81% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.75% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.91% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.88% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.33% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.17% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 57.5%
1-1 @ 9.85% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.61% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.33% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.42%
1-2 @ 5.59% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.79% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.12% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 21.08%

How you voted: Austin vs Portland

Austin FC
93.3%
Draw
0.0%
Portland Timbers
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2022 3am
Portland
1-0
Austin
Tuiloma (62')
Chara (53'), Paredes (57'), Blanco (90+6')

Dominguez (49'), Driussi (50'), Kolmanic (50'), Pereira (60'), Valencia (90+5')
Nov 7, 2021 11pm
Portland
3-0
Austin
Paredes (17'), Niezgoda (45+1'), Blanco (53')

Berhalter (47')
Aug 22, 2021 2am
Austin
3-1
Portland
Dominguez (11' pen.), Fagundez (14'), Driussi (29')
Pochettino (83')
Asprilla (55')
Zuparic (64')
Jul 2, 2021 2.30am
Austin
4-1
Portland
Gallagher (28'), Fagundez (33'), Ring (77'), Jimenez (81')
Kolmanic (44'), Pochettino (45+1')
Ebobisse (45+7')
Tuiloma (45+5'), Asprilla (68'), Zuparic (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
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8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
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11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
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1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
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3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
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11Dallas34118155456-241
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