Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 51.36%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 24.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 0-1 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Minnesota United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Minnesota United.
-0.25) 
0.02) 
