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Major League Soccer
Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Jul 17, 2022 at 8pm UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Orlando City

Atlanta
1 - 1
Orlando City

Sanchez (71')
Sejdic (45+1'), McFadden (59'), Araujo (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pereyra (10')
Urso (36'), Pereyra (69'), Michel (73'), Ruan (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

Last Six:
Last Game: Atlanta 2-1 Salt Lake
Thursday, July 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Orlando City

Last Six:
Last Game: Colorado 1-1 Orlando City
Thursday, July 14 at 2am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 1-1 Orlando City

 Overall, Atlanta possesses more quality than Orlando, but the Lions have done well to neutralize opposing attacks, so we expect them to show discipline and structure against an aggressive Five Stripes team, who have not proven that they can remain consistent from one match to another. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 58.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawOrlando City
58.57% (0.034000000000006 0.03) 22.42% (0.02 0.02) 19% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)
Both teams to score 51.89% (-0.155 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.34% (-0.159 -0.16)46.66% (0.16 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.07% (-0.149 -0.15)68.93% (0.148 0.15)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.39% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)15.6% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.41% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)44.59% (0.083000000000006 0.08)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.49% (-0.151 -0.15)38.51% (0.152 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.74% (-0.145 -0.15)75.26% (0.146 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 58.56%
    Orlando City 19%
    Draw 22.42%
Atlanta UnitedDrawOrlando City
1-0 @ 11.16% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 10.36% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 6.42% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.13% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.06% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 58.56%
1-1 @ 10.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.01% (0.04 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.42%
0-1 @ 5.73% (0.015 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.08% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.74% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.62% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 19%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Orlando City

Atlanta United
50.0%
Draw
30.0%
Orlando City
20.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2021 12am
Atlanta
3-0
Orlando City
Campbell (25'), Dike (38' og.), Barco (72')
Franco (34'), Campbell (45+1'), Sosa (81')

Carlos (37')
Jul 31, 2021 1am
Orlando City
3-2
Atlanta
Smith (43'), Van der Water (79'), Nani (87')
Perea (64')
Martinez (1'), Moreno (66')
Franco (86')
Apr 17, 2021 8pm
Orlando City
0-0
Atlanta
Oct 28, 2020 11.30pm
Orlando City
4-1
Atlanta
Dike (29'), Mueller (45+2'), Akindele (60'), Mendez (90+2')
Michel (88')
Torres (87')
Meza (45+1'), Remedi (81'), Mo (90+1')
Oct 8, 2020 12am
Atlanta
0-0
Orlando City

Escobar (36'), Mo (50'), Robinson (90')

Miller (77'), Schlegel (81')
rhs 2.0
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
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2Columbus Crew34199672403266
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5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
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