Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 45.5%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Clermont win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reims would win this match.
Result | ||
Reims | Draw | Clermont |
45.5% ( 0.22) | 25.7% ( -0.15) | 28.79% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 52.67% ( 0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.95% ( 0.55) | 51.05% ( -0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.09% ( 0.48) | 72.91% ( -0.48) |
Reims Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.6% ( 0.34) | 22.4% ( -0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.08% ( 0.5) | 55.91% ( -0.51) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.88% ( 0.22) | 32.12% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.4% ( 0.25) | 68.6% ( -0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Reims | Draw | Clermont |
1-0 @ 10.76% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.05% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.19% Total : 45.5% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.69% Total : 28.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |