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Ligue 1
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38
May 21, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Strasbourg

Marseille
4 - 0
Strasbourg

Gerson (32', 89'), Under (73'), Bakambu (90+2')
Caleta-Car (34'), Gueye (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sissoko (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

Last Six:
Last Game: Marseille 4-0 Strasbourg
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Strasbourg

Last Six:
Last Game: Marseille 4-0 Strasbourg
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Marseille 1-1 Strasbourg

 Marseille's levels of creative ingenuity and attacking incisiveness decrease dramatically when Payet is not on the pitch, and Strasbourg would do well to capitalise on this opportunity at a ground where the hosts have not enjoyed a strong period of success. That being said, Stephan's side have not dominated many games in recent memory and have developed an affinity for draws on the road, so we can envisage this battle ending all square as Marseille clinch a top-three spot, while Strasbourg will nervously learn of results elsewhere. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 49.05%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 25.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawStrasbourg
49.05% (1.552 1.55) 25.2% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06) 25.75% (-1.496 -1.5)
Both teams to score 51.94% (-1.074 -1.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.09% (-0.808 -0.81)50.9% (0.805 0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.22% (-0.713 -0.71)72.78% (0.71000000000001 0.71)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.23% (0.336 0.34)20.77% (-0.339 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.58% (0.529 0.53)53.41% (-0.532 -0.53)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.56% (-1.642 -1.64)34.44% (1.638 1.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.85% (-1.787 -1.79)71.15% (1.784 1.78)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 49.05%
    Strasbourg 25.75%
    Draw 25.19%
MarseilleDrawStrasbourg
1-0 @ 11.24% (0.47 0.47)
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 8.83% (0.458 0.46)
3-1 @ 4.93% (0.092 0.09)
3-0 @ 4.63% (0.285 0.29)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.94% (0.056 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.82% (0.129 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 49.05%
1-1 @ 11.98% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.15% (0.229 0.23)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.185 -0.19)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 7.63% (-0.094 -0.09)
1-2 @ 6.39% (-0.305 -0.31)
0-2 @ 4.06% (-0.238 -0.24)
1-3 @ 2.27% (-0.216 -0.22)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.155 -0.16)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 25.75%

How you voted: Marseille vs Strasbourg

Marseille
62.5%
Draw
26.4%
Strasbourg
11.1%
72
Head to Head
Dec 12, 2021 4pm
Strasbourg
0-2
Marseille

Stephan (38'), Ajorque (49'), Nyamsi (71')
Dieng (62'), Caleta-Car (82')
Guendouzi (68')
Apr 30, 2021 8pm
Marseille
1-1
Strasbourg
Benedetto (86')
Rongier (55'), Lirola (81'), Milik (90+2'), Gueye (90+3')
Mitrovic (73')
Kone (53'), Diallo (85')
Nov 6, 2020 8pm
Strasbourg
0-1
Marseille
Sanson (72')
Amavi (52'), Kamara (58'), Khaoui (87'), Mandanda (89')
May 2, 2020 7pm
Strasbourg
P-P
Marseille
Jan 29, 2020 8.05pm
Marseille
3-1
Strasbourg
Sarr (32'), Payet (43' pen.), Kamara (95')
Lopez (57')
Corgnet (59')
Mitrovic (18'), Simakan (92')
N'Dour (86')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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