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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Rennes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 37
May 14, 2022 at 8pm UK
Route de Lorient
Marseille

Rennes
2 - 0
Marseille

Bourigeaud (12'), Majer (35')
Tait (27')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Sampaoli (27'), Caleta-Car (64'), Gueye (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Rennes and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 2-2 Rennes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Rennes 1-1 Marseille

Rennes have the second-best home record in Ligue 1 this season, while Marseille have the strongest away record, so this is a really difficult match to call. It would not be a surprise to see a home or indeed an away victory, but we have a feeling that this game will end all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 60.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Marseille had a probability of 17.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Marseille win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result
RennesDrawMarseille
60.13% (0.177 0.18) 22.28% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 17.6% (-0.13 -0.13)
Both teams to score 49.79% (-0.1 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.84% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)48.16% (0.0089999999999932 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)70.32% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.4% (0.056000000000012 0.06)15.6% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.42% (0.104 0.1)44.58% (-0.104 -0.1)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.99% (-0.158 -0.16)41.01% (0.159 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.44% (-0.143 -0.14)77.56% (0.142 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Rennes 60.12%
    Marseille 17.6%
    Draw 22.27%
RennesDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 11.88% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 11.04% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 6.84% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.18% (0.025 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.83% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.18% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.05% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 60.12%
1-1 @ 10.59% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.4% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 22.27%
0-1 @ 5.7% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.72% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.54% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.4% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.3% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 17.6%

How you voted: Rennes vs Marseille

Rennes
47.2%
Draw
18.9%
Marseille
34.0%
53
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2021 4pm
Marseille
2-0
Rennes
Dieng (48'), Harit (71')
Sampaoli (33')

Bade (44'), Santamaria (64'), Genesio (65')
Mar 10, 2021 6pm
Marseille
1-0
Rennes
Cuisance (88')
Caleta-Car (32'), Kamara (79')

Camavinga (33'), Aguerd (41'), Nyamsi (45+1'), Genesio (80')
Dec 16, 2020 8pm
Rennes
2-1
Marseille
Traore (63'), Hunou (83')
Hunou (72')
Gueye (24')
Gueye (11'), Balerdi (42'), Cuisance (80')
Gueye (36')
Jan 10, 2020 7.45pm
Rennes
0-1
Marseille

Traore (32'), Da Silva (82')
Strootman (84')
Sarr (30'), Caleta-Car (35'), Kamara (50'), Payet (79'), Sanson (89')
Sep 29, 2019 8pm
Marseille
1-1
Rennes
Caleta-Car (52')
Strootman (58'), Radonjic (86'), Perrin (93'), Sakai (95')
Niang (19')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


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