Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 38.62%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-0 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Rennes |
34.63% | 26.76% | 38.62% |
Both teams to score 51.56% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.51% | 53.49% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.99% | 75.01% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.63% | 29.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.65% | 65.35% |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73% | 27% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.65% | 62.35% |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Rennes |
1-0 @ 9.71% 2-1 @ 7.79% 2-0 @ 5.95% 3-1 @ 3.18% 3-0 @ 2.43% 3-2 @ 2.08% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.5% Total : 34.63% | 1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 7.93% 2-2 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.76% | 0-1 @ 10.38% 1-2 @ 8.33% 0-2 @ 6.8% 1-3 @ 3.64% 0-3 @ 2.97% 2-3 @ 2.23% 1-4 @ 1.19% 0-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.12% Total : 38.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |