Swindon

2 - 1

Grimsby Town

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 49.09%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 27.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Swindon Town in this match.