Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 44.23%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Salford City win was 2-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Salford City | Draw | Grimsby Town |
32.01% ( -0.03) | 23.75% ( -0.01) | 44.23% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 61.05% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.13% ( 0.06) | 40.86% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.74% ( 0.06) | 63.25% ( -0.06) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.14% ( 0.01) | 24.85% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.54% ( 0.01) | 59.45% ( -0.01) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.24% ( 0.04) | 18.76% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.84% ( 0.07) | 50.15% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Salford City | Draw | Grimsby Town |
2-1 @ 7.56% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.51% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.1% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 32.01% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.75% | 1-2 @ 9.09% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.53% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.07% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.64% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.52% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.45% Total : 44.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |