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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 8
Nov 19, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Accrington Stanley

AFC Wimbledon
2 - 2
Accrington

Smith (89'), Tilley (90+8')
Jackson (23'), Stevens (37'), Tilley (60'), Ball (70'), Neufville (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Khumbeni (58'), Costelloe (76')
Woods (22'), Rawson (45+1'), Walton (88'), Hunter (90+9')
Rawson (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barrow 1-3 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 2-2 Swindon
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Accrington Stanley

The hosts have had a largely positive start to the 2024-25 campaign, while the visitors are coming into this one in a great run of form, leading us to believe this one will end all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 54.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 22.34%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawAccrington Stanley
54.24% (-1.33 -1.33) 23.42% (0.591 0.59) 22.34% (0.739 0.74)
Both teams to score 53.77% (-0.921 -0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.33% (-1.708 -1.71)46.67% (1.708 1.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.06% (-1.623 -1.62)68.94% (1.621 1.62)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.89% (-1.083 -1.08)17.11% (1.082 1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.68% (-1.943 -1.94)47.32% (1.943 1.94)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.87% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)35.13% (0.26 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.11% (-0.273 -0.27)71.89% (0.27199999999999 0.27)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 54.24%
    Accrington Stanley 22.34%
    Draw 23.42%
AFC WimbledonDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 10.61% (0.38 0.38)
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 9.37% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 5.77% (-0.256 -0.26)
3-0 @ 5.51% (-0.203 -0.2)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.156 -0.16)
4-1 @ 2.55% (-0.211 -0.21)
4-0 @ 2.43% (-0.183 -0.18)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.121 -0.12)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 54.24%
1-1 @ 11.1% (0.32 0.32)
0-0 @ 6.01% (0.421 0.42)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.42%
0-1 @ 6.29% (0.4 0.4)
1-2 @ 5.81% (0.128 0.13)
0-2 @ 3.29% (0.187 0.19)
1-3 @ 2.02% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.79% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.15% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 2%
Total : 22.34%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Accrington

AFC Wimbledon
55.1%
Draw
24.5%
Accrington Stanley
20.4%
49
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Accrington
2-0
AFC Wimbledon
Nolan (50'), Woods (81')
Bickerstaff (90+6')

Ball (36')
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
AFC Wimbledon
2-4
Accrington
Bugiel (51', 70')
Pell (24'), Al-Hamadi (68'), Biler (82')
Pritchard (4', 46'), Leigh (9'), Hills (83')
Bagueloc'rich (25'), Hills (54'), Mellor (63')
Apr 30, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
AFC Wimbledon
3-4
Accrington
Assal (56'), Rudoni (58', 66')
Heneghan (79')
Bagueloc'rich (18'), Bishop (35'), Nottingham (45'), O'Sullivan (63')
Bagueloc'rich (73'), Butcher (81')
Dec 7, 2021 7.45pm
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 41
Accrington
1-5
AFC Wimbledon
Nottingham (5')
Burgess (56')
Palmer (21', 42'), Assal (45+1', 64'), Pigott (57')
Assal (65'), Heneghan (67')
Heneghan (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall28185554302459
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster29157742321052
3Notts County28148645281750
4AFC Wimbledon27146739201948
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe291212536251148
6Port Vale2813963529648
7Bradford CityBradford28138738281047
8Salford City2812883326744
9Grimsby Town29133134045-542
10Chesterfield28109943321139
11MK Dons28115124240238
12Cheltenham TownCheltenham28108103739-238
13Colchester UnitedColchester2881373329437
14Swindon TownSwindon30910114344-137
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood279993735236
16Bromley2881193637-135
17Gillingham2795132529-432
18BarrowBarrow2887132732-531
19Newport CountyNewport2786133546-1130
20Harrogate TownHarrogate3086162541-1630
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2778123445-1129
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2868142146-2526
23Morecambe2865172644-1823
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2856172246-2421


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