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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (8.39%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Walsall |
27.78% ( -1.05) | 25.85% ( -0.02) | 46.38% ( 1.06) |
Both teams to score 51.56% ( -0.65) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.82% ( -0.51) | 52.18% ( 0.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.11% ( -0.44) | 73.89% ( 0.45) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.51% ( -1.07) | 33.49% ( 1.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.87% ( -1.19) | 70.13% ( 1.19) |
Walsall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.52% ( 0.27) | 22.47% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.97% ( 0.41) | 56.03% ( -0.4) |
Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Walsall |
1-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 6.72% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.39% Total : 27.78% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.84% | 0-1 @ 11.23% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 9.17% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 8.39% ( 0.3) 1-3 @ 4.57% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 4.17% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.16% Total : 46.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
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