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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 45.44%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.
Result | ||
Grimsby Town | Draw | Walsall |
29.41% ( 1.43) | 25.15% ( 0.06) | 45.44% ( -1.5) |
Both teams to score 54.84% ( 0.74) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.6% ( 0.53) | 48.4% ( -0.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.46% ( 0.49) | 70.53% ( -0.49) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.69% ( 1.33) | 30.31% ( -1.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.51% ( 1.56) | 66.49% ( -1.56) |
Walsall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.68% ( -0.44) | 21.31% ( 0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.74% ( -0.69) | 54.26% ( 0.68) |
Score Analysis |
Grimsby Town | Draw | Walsall |
1-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.15) Other @ 3.13% Total : 29.41% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 9.99% ( -0.36) 1-2 @ 9.21% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 7.72% ( -0.39) 1-3 @ 4.75% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 3.98% ( -0.26) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.12) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 45.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
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