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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 46.17%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Port Vale |
28.13% ( 0.03) | 25.7% ( -0) | 46.17% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 52.24% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.59% ( 0.03) | 51.41% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.78% ( 0.03) | 73.22% ( -0.03) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.19% ( 0.05) | 32.81% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.62% ( 0.05) | 69.38% ( -0.05) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.75% | 22.25% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.32% ( -0) | 55.68% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Port Vale |
1-0 @ 8.14% 2-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.68% ( 0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 28.13% | 1-1 @ 12.22% 0-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 10.97% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.19% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.24% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.6% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.73% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.55% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.22% Total : 46.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
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