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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
AFC Wimbledon

Notts County
1 - 0
AFC Wimbledon

Platt (67')
Macarai (13'), Platt (64'), Abbott (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Harbottle (9'), Furlong (90')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Notts County and AFC Wimbledon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chesterfield 2-2 Notts County
Saturday, October 12 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 4-0 Carlisle
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 36.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawAFC Wimbledon
38.53% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04) 24.9% (0.0030000000000001 0) 36.57% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 58.11% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.81% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)45.19% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)67.54% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.75% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)23.25% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.83% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)57.16% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.71% (0.025999999999996 0.03)24.29% (-0.020999999999997 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.34% (0.032000000000004 0.03)58.66% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 38.53%
    AFC Wimbledon 36.57%
    Draw 24.89%
Notts CountyDrawAFC Wimbledon
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.24% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 6.01% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.92% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.07% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 38.53%
1-1 @ 11.65%
2-2 @ 6.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.65% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.89%
1-2 @ 8.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.99% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.65% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.89% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.67% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.38% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 36.57%

Head to Head
Mar 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 37
Notts County
0-2
AFC Wimbledon

O'Brien (24'), Cameron (60')
Rawlinson (80' og.), Balmer (85')
O'Toole (15'), Tilley (20'), Reeves (33'), Bugiel (55'), Bass (90+5')
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
AFC Wimbledon
4-2
Notts County
Reeves (29' pen., 86' pen.), Al-Hamadi (41', 90+2')
Lewis (22'), Currie (38')
Langstaff (62'), Nemane (67')
Jones (45+4')
Jan 23, 2016 3pm
Sep 19, 2015 3pm
AFC Wimbledon
2-1
Notts County
Bulman (85'), Akinfenwa (90')
Reeves (27'), Fuller (79'), Francomb (88')
Hollis (16')
Amevor (11'), Swerts (45'), Snijders (68'), Burke (82')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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