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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 13
Oct 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Morecambe

AFC Wimbledon
3 - 0
Morecambe

Tilley (52'), Bugiel (66'), Stevens (70')
Lewis (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hendrie (77')
Coverage of the League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Morecambe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 1-3 MK Dons
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 58.91%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 18.14%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawMorecambe
58.91% (0.276 0.28) 22.95% (0.185 0.18) 18.14% (-0.466 -0.47)
Both teams to score 48.74% (-1.395 -1.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.9% (-1.434 -1.43)50.09% (1.429 1.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.93% (-1.291 -1.29)72.06% (1.285 1.29)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.31% (-0.411 -0.41)16.68% (0.405 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.44% (-0.736 -0.74)46.56% (0.73 0.73)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.49% (-1.382 -1.38)41.5% (1.376 1.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22% (-1.239 -1.24)78% (1.234 1.23)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 58.9%
    Morecambe 18.14%
    Draw 22.95%
AFC WimbledonDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 12.39% (0.54 0.54)
2-0 @ 11.1% (0.34 0.34)
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.065 -0.06)
3-0 @ 6.63% (0.114 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.83% (-0.119 -0.12)
4-0 @ 2.97% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.61% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.153 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.086 -0.09)
5-0 @ 1.06% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.94% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 58.9%
1-1 @ 10.9% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 6.92% (0.392 0.39)
2-2 @ 4.29% (-0.195 -0.2)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 22.95%
0-1 @ 6.09% (0.125 0.13)
1-2 @ 4.8% (-0.149 -0.15)
0-2 @ 2.68% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.41% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.26% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 18.14%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Morecambe

AFC Wimbledon
66.7%
Draw
33.3%
Morecambe
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Feb 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 34
AFC Wimbledon
1-1
Morecambe
Bugiel (50')
Tilley (62')
Stokes (74')
Khumbeni (11'), J (42'), Tutonda (66'), Davenport (86'), Melbourne (90+2')
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Morecambe
4-1
AFC Wimbledon
Mellon (46', 61' pen., 88'), Lewis (51' og.)
Adams (58'), Davenport (65'), Tutonda (79')
Little (72')
Bugiel (57')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
AFC Wimbledon
0-0
Morecambe
Marsh (83'), Ablade (90+1')
Wildig (58'), Leigh (65')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 7
Morecambe
3-4
AFC Wimbledon
Stockton (49', 65'), McLoughlin (54')
Leigh (73'), Delaney (89')
Hartigan (5'), Chislett (61'), Nightingale (72'), Assal (90+4')
Mebude (25'), Lawrence (35'), Chislett (67'), Assal (90+5')
Mar 12, 2016 3pm
Morecambe
2-1
AFC Wimbledon
Fleming (76'), Devitt (80' pen.)
Fleming (76')
Francomb (90')
Meades (72'), Reeves (82')
Sweeney (79')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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