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League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Exeter City

Ipswich
6 - 0
Exeter

Chaplin (8', 32'), Luongo (16'), Hirst (22'), Broadhead (28' pen.), Burns (47')
Clarke (57'), Burgess (88')
FT(HT: 5-0)

Mitchell (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Ipswich Town and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 0-3 Ipswich
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-1 Exeter
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One

We said: Ipswich Town 2-0 Exeter City

Ipswich have been solid all season, but their performances have gone up a level since February, keeping clean sheets in 12 of their last 14 matches. McKenna's side have proven they have what it takes to win promotion with their recent victories against Barnsley and Peterborough, and we expect them to get over the line on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 79.79%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 7.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.1%), while for a Exeter City win it was 1-2 (2.23%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawExeter City
79.79% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07) 12.99% (0.036 0.04) 7.21% (0.029 0.03)
Both teams to score 48.61% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.96% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)32.03% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.39% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)53.6% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.74% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)6.25% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.41% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)23.59% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.85% (0.022999999999996 0.02)48.14% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.66% (0.015000000000001 0.02)83.34% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 79.78%
    Exeter City 7.21%
    Draw 12.99%
Ipswich TownDrawExeter City
2-0 @ 11.56%
3-0 @ 10.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.46% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.35% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.81% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 7.41% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 5.41% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
5-0 @ 4.11% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.86% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.98% (-0.002 -0)
6-0 @ 1.9% (-0.01 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.39% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 79.78%
1-1 @ 6.1% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.09% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.01% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 12.99%
1-2 @ 2.23% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 2.2% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 7.21%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Exeter

Ipswich Town
100%
Draw
0.0%
Exeter City
0.0%
25
Head to Head
Nov 19, 2022 12pm
gameweek 19
Exeter
0-2
Ipswich

Sparkes (45+1')
Ladapo (11'), Harness (68')
Jan 4, 2020 3pm
Jan 4, 2020 3pm
Round of 16
Exeter
2-1
Ipswich
Ajose (45'), Martin (93')
Jay (35')
Keane (57')
Keane (41'), Woolfenden (60'), Nsiala (91')
Aug 14, 2018 7.45pm
First Round
Exeter
1-1
Ipswich
Exeter win 4-2 on penalties
Brown (64')
Taylor (67')
Jackson (37')
Knudsen (82'), Nsiala (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport29148744281650
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield28146841261548
6Leyton Orient281351040251544
7Charlton AthleticCharlton2812883628844
8Reading28135104341244
9Bolton WanderersBolton29135114343044
10Barnsley29127104139243
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln29109103534139
13Blackpool2891184140138
14Mansfield TownMansfield27114123534137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham28107113333037
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Northampton TownNorthampton2979132845-1730
20Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2766152748-2124
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2865172848-2023
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2857162950-2122


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