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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 51.84%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 24.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (8.76%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 1-0 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Peterborough United | Draw | Ipswich Town |
24.38% ( 0.03) | 23.78% ( 0) | 51.84% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 55.06% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.86% ( 0.02) | 46.14% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.56% ( 0.02) | 68.43% ( -0.02) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.97% ( 0.04) | 33.02% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.39% ( 0.04) | 69.61% ( -0.04) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.2% ( -0) | 17.79% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.48% ( -0.01) | 48.51% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Peterborough United | Draw | Ipswich Town |
1-0 @ 6.51% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.23% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.61% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.3% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 24.38% | 1-1 @ 11.24% 0-0 @ 5.88% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.78% | 0-1 @ 10.14% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.7% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.76% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.58% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.04% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.09% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.41% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.17% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 3.61% Total : 51.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 24 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 56 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 54 |
3 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 48 |
5 | Barnsley | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 42 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Reading | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 41 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 38 |
10 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 37 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 37 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 35 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Exeter CityExeter | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 32 |
15 | Blackpool | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Stevenage | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 31 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 30 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 28 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 27 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 26 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 21 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Burton Albion | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 23 | 40 | -17 | 18 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 18 |
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